BRICS 'development bank' must aim effectively to end Bretton Woods Institutions' disparities

The move to establish BRICS bank is meant to provide patient money and risk capital to long term projects and not aimed at challenging the existing multilateral financial institutions like the IMF and the World Bank, the RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan has said in a speech at an event organised in Chicago on Friday by the Chicago Council on Global Affairs.

In verbatim, his views came as: "I don't think it was primarily meant to challenge the existing multilateral institutions but it certainly is saying look we have plenty of money ourselves, why don't we put some of this money to use in a way that benefits us rather than necessarily depending on the multilateral institutions to change which is taking much more time than anybody thought of".

This is quite surprising from him, seeing he is heading India’s Central Bank and India is going to get the first Presidency of the new bank, would be headquartered at Shanghai. Rajan’s remarks certainly have potential to start a serious debate, about the future course of old mammoth discriminatory financial institutions, which have underwent almost no practical changes (mildly he admitted this time too) towards the need of the developing countries since their inception and on wake of sea of changes in the fundamental orders in the world.

As in collective reckoning, the consensus among the BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) to establish a New Development Bank (NDB) and a Contingent Reserve Arrangement (CRA), finally emerged out of their dissatisfaction with the ultra conservative Bretton Woods Institutions, such as the World Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the unflinching extremes of west-centric dollar dominating global monetary system.

The US has been ruling the multilateral institutions – and the BRICS that include five super-performing economies with over 20 per cent contribution in the global economic activity, posses just 11 per cent of the votes in IMF.

Adding more jerks to the adversities, the IMF's precautionary credit lines found reluctant receivers in underrepresented countries – that made central banks of these sides desperate for dollars to obtain the credit from the Federal Reserve only. The Fed played a proactive role during the height of global economic crisis in 2008, but not necessarily the similar policy will be replicated ahead too.

The BRICS countries’ inhibition in such scenario is forthcoming but rational – and their beliefs in NDB and CRA have sufficient logical traction. The NDB aims to meet with the credit requirements of heavy infrastructural projects – although the demand for credit will not be equal from these five countries, as they are into different development stages. But for meeting additional needs of infrastructure creation, the NDB has a balanced approach in terms of activating the prospective creditors and borrowers at same platform.

So, the business proposition of NDB is free from contention. However, the Bretton Woods institutions and the flocks of economists nurtured through their legacy have reservation on it, as this new development bank will promote regional co-operation unlike the already existing Inter-American Development Bank, Asian Development Bank and African Development Bank. That apprehension is totally misplaced, as the NDB with seed capital of just $100 billion or even with an incremental outlay will be not able to challenge the might of an established and mighty, IMF or World Bank – but it would be surely a beginning for BRICS to chart a new course for them in meeting with the bundled challenges of long-term finance.

Intently, the CRA intended to lessen the BRICS dependence on the Fed and dollars, showcases something different than the NDB. It is allocated $100bn – for swap lines, accessible to all five-nation members. With no permanency of lending and borrowing structure, the idea of CRA may not work as expected. But it would be naïve to reject it too early, as the potential of closer co-operation among the BRICS can unleash conducive impacts on its functioning.

Remarkably, these arrangements by the BRICS were made to counter the persisting discriminatory policies of the giant financial lenders – as in the case of IMF, it has changed everything but not its conservative structure, aligned in favour of the western countries. There is enough merit lies in the BRICS claim that the international financial system has worked against their interest. Rajan and others must heed to this truth.

Policymakers from the BRICS have been vociferously airing their views about the partial policy stances of the rich countries’ institutions, disguised as ‘multilateral agencies’. Earlier, Raghuram Rajan, was one among them, who aptly identified rich countries for pursuing selfish policies with no thought of their negative impact on emerging economies. Will he recall it now?

And the economic bubbles, their temptation of falling and making the global financial system on toe is something never amiss the scene. The Bretton Woods institutions in their present shape will be keeping such threats alive, so the notion of getting adrift from the crisis would be rather too simplistic at this point of time.

Hence, the space is for an alternative financing arrangement – first at regional, and next on the international level. This new bank is capable of bringing that, although initially with limited impact. China has been lending in Africa and that made good effects but it also violated many basic procedures – the BRICS bank has to move cautiously on this, as carrying forward the legacy of any one country out of those five would be against its collective foundational spirit. So, the mode of operation must be carried forward with a standard set of norms, never to be tempered with any one member’s discretion.

The BRICS bank has immense potential to bank with the huge number of roads, power plants and sewerage systems, as those all need large-scale funding. With the long-term capital base of the bank and meeting with the financing demands of these projects, the purpose of its establishment would be justified.

However, the new bank is not completely free from the challenges. Among the shortcomings it has, is its relatively small size, seeing it will have to work on international level. Also as Ben Steil and Dinah Walker of the US-based Council on Foreign Relations note that, China, India and Brazil have borrowed $66bn from the World Bank alone – more than the entire subscribed capital of the BRICS bank. That indebtedness may hamper these countries to go too agile in promoting policies in favour of their new bank and finally to counter the influence of the World Bank – possibly, there may be temporary ambiguity in loyalty.

Moreover, the BRICS bank will be facing adjustment related issues with the different political systems of the five member countries – as the differences between the systems in India and China are far too wide to be adjusted so easily. The new bank will have to look on the ethical concerns, include that related to the handling of natural resources by the projects, it would be financing. Its articles, which ensure that the founders will never see their voting rights drop below 55 per cent, must be scrapped or made more democratic. As this particular clauses make the idea of BRICS bank, less democratic than claimed.

Beyond even an iota of doubt, the Bretton Woods institutions are symbolising the spent time of empire, which are on verge of ruining after a painfully long saturation phase. The rest world, including former colonies have changed in the recent decades – so, the experiments like BRICS bank outlines positively where the future is – apparently, its on the side of emerging economies. Rajan should see the turning point of history little more cautiously, wishfully like he once saw the spectre of global financial crisis as early as in 2005– and delivered memorable Jackson Hole lecture.
-Atul K Thakur
Email: summertickets@gmail.com
(Published in INCLUSION)

What’s stopping financial inclusion?

India must stop chasing the bandwagon of hyped western model of over-sized baking
It’s not believable that worldwide financial crisis is over, as the recovery so far has failed to bring back the sentiment in financial sector of days back to 2008. Though in downturn, the profound importance of finance for the global economy could be easily realised – this effect is visible even when 2.5billion people worldwide still have no access to formal banking services.

This ‘missing segment’ poses question mark over the claim of financial inclusion, which is breathlessly pervasive from all the corners. In India, the situation is much worse, as almost its half of population is unbanked and that blocking their convergence with the global economic model of consumption. The usual cycle (that thrives on limitless consumerism) of consumption is compromised here, and that is an obvious reality.

Atleast in India, the idea of financial inclusion has not travelled beyond the infancy, as the technical understanding of this issue and infrastructure available here does not appear in functional equilibrium, so the deviation is unrelenting. It’s beyond common reckoning that globalisation is not a zero-sum game, so not essentially emerging economies can benefit from the opening of markets for developed world.

Rather if the world’s 2.5 billion unbanked could be included in the fold of financial inclusion, every industry will experience innovation and growth. The empirical evidences suggest that the homegrown policies are more effective than borrowed tailor made ideas from different set of system. A common solution is hard to find for the financial inclusiveness, as factors that are common across countries hardly provide a smooth way forward.

The asymmetric use of technology is the most dampening bottleneck of free and fair operation of institutional financial services in emerging countries. It’s true populations worldwide is embracing technology, especially cell phones but still people throughout the developing world terribly lack the basic identification, formal employment and a permanent address. Such impediments stop a bulk of people to avail the benefits of institutional financial services.

In Indian case, the lapses in perception and action towards the financial inclusion drive generate confusion and deviation from base issues. The government and regulators still lacks to configurate and channelise it as a viable model for business. This overlooks the bright outcome of opening the financial system to the world’s poorest people, which could open their economic and social potential-to the benefit of all.

Presently, financial inclusion campaign in India is erroneously being handled by the banks or other corporate entity like a part of lackluster CSR schemes. This is a serious violation of fundamental conception attached with this plan-recently Raghuram Rajan, who chaired the Committee on Financial Inclusion in past has himself admitted the prevailing unrealistic state of affairs in India’s policy circle, in which the big claims of financial inclusiveness more often surfaced.

It’s not true that efforts have not made in the past as well to promote financial inclusion-in some senses, they were better organised to address the targeted issues then the current policy feeds being issued from RBI. The RBI’s pre-determined policy stances have inhibited the healthy growth of financial institutions and services, which affected the natural course of financial inclusion in the country.

The RBI is maintaining silence over the future growth of India’s financial sector, which has been safe more for its undersized ambition than the claimed ‘prudence’. This is totally ironic watching the curtain down on the future of India’s more than 55 percent unbanked citizens and overall the growth of financial sector at large.

The path India’s banking has travelled so far hardly allows one to part the views between progressivism and ultra-materialism, here the things have to be seen in the right context. Public sector banking was more a hedging intervention, so it would be unfair considering the nationalisation of banks as the complete socialistic manifestation. PSBs/RRBs played their role immensely well and would do more good under the perfect competition around the every nook and corner.

With more than 17,000 branches across the India’s rural heartlands and the small towns, RRBs can be seen as the engine of rural growth in India.

India’s financial policy regime must believe in the certain goodness, which its institutions offer-and for making things better, they must stop chasing the bandwagon of hyped western model of over-sized baking or doubtful idealism of microfinance businesses.
-Atul K Thakur
Email: summertickets@gmail.com
(Published in Millennium Post,on 19April,2013)

The irony of paradoxes!

Studies show that the overall effect of micro-credit is not essentially income enhancing but mostly in income smoothing, in making credited people more capable to buy goods or services that they cannot otherwise afford.
In all the ideas of financial accountability, financial inclusion is most important. Nevertheless, the policy circle represents it awkwardly and measures it by the number of new enterprises created which is flawed. The primary concern of the lending should be to target the prepared individual, who is capable to run a business and nurture entrepreneurship. In most cases, beneficiaries of the institutional credit do not use it for the sake of enterprise or for the purpose of income-generation.

Rather they spend credit given to them on conspicuous objects or for household expenses. Studies show that the overall effect of micro-credit is not essentially income enhancing but mostly in income smoothing, in making credited people more capable to buy goods or services that they cannot otherwise afford. The need is to create more micro-enterprises through the credit disbursement, but that requires the Indian financial sector to be more robust and responsible.

The wrong driving notion of ‘innovation’ is sabotaging the basic aims of banking in India. The point should be that we need something more than buzz of mobile banking and business correspondents. Giving prominence to undeserving ideas causes as much irritation as seeking ‘financial inclusion’ through the ambiguous financial products like-Participatory Notes and Sovereign Wealth Funds. The grim fact is, banking in India has failed to either catch the best spirits of socialistic planning or the goodness of open economy.

One of the big issues of financing in India is the ‘credit culture’. This is not strong and effective. In blurred vision of lending and unethical faith in not returning the credit makes the credit culture highly unsustainable. The proof of ‘Priority Sector Lending’ holds primacy among those India’s beautifully made constitution has absorbed this to ensure fair credit to the weaker sections and enterprising activities at bottom level.

Unfortunately, it was totally mistaken by the banks operating in India as guard against any extra demand of inclusive banking. Except Regional Rural Banks (RRBs), no other banks in India completely follow the constitutionally enforced PSL-the commercial banks lend as required, 1/3of the total credit on easily sourced fictitious enterprises or by buying the loans of RRBs or from some functional cooperative banks.

Even this worst comes up when RBI makes tight effort of attainment.

Though the small businesses are important, they cannot be a major source of job creation. They create jobs but many walk away from business. Growing or established businesses can create sustainable jobs. In that case, small local banks such as RRB benefit by lending to SMEs to keep them floating. If business thrives on bank credit, naturally the lending banks will be equally benefitted. Private MFIs have failed to function in desired competency, as their working model is not supported by the rationale of inclusiveness.

The static structure of large banks is a disadvantage when it comes to offering micro-credit. For SME credit in an example, an important consideration is the kind of structure which enables them for credit.

That is less transparent and recede chances of positive lending. In effect, the engines of growth/SMEs starve for funds. Here the basic argument is India’s large banks are relatively bad in giving customised loans. They ignore the marginal utility of the time and specific financial requirements, which matters earnestly to the small local customer.

This tendency mars the idea of inclusive banking, whatever the size, Indian banks could reach by having segmental business focus, but it would be not able to hide the unrelenting follies at ground. The local area banks, like RRBs are still doing well and could do better, if given them the parity as equal as the PSBs are getting from the government and regulators. The smaller banks can serve local populations much better and here requires lot of work to be done.

In popular perceptions, nationalised banks are trusted because these could be identified with the government. But the concern is their service levels, which is not good in rural areas. Another grave trend is not having the private sector banks’ concentration on agri-business or in promoting the farming. It’s very surprising as all second generation Indian private sector banks have presence in tier-III&IV towns.

The RBI has to act fast in making banks more open for compliance and also infusing the spirit through policies. The understanding should be that ‘social concern’ doesn’t make any adverse impact on core banking businesses. At this point of time, India banking cannot afford the ‘static mode’ in which Western financial institutions are addicted to function. Comparatively, Indian banks are stood with better chances to thrive on the huge domestic demands; this way the aim of ‘financial inclusion’ will be also meet.

But the RBI has to work very hard for this as Indian banks follow no voluntarism most of the time. After the long spell of policy inertia, the RBI is finally making plans to allow more licenses to new banks but that alone will not guarantee its entering of bonhomie with the finance ministry. Still they stand at distances while discussing the fate of economy. This dumps the prospect for change.

Progressing into 21st century amid volatile global financial scenario, Indian policymakers must heed on the larger questions related to the economy.

It will be nothing more than ‘complacency’, believing that Indian economy has really overcome the harsh outcomes of economic meltdown. With a directionless capital market, almost fridged insurance sector and passive banking structure, this claim will not go too ahead. Lately, the realization about mishandled policies and passed time would be more rational. Also this will help in dealing the situation, which is no longer as rosy as it was before 2008.

The double digit growth is now a distant dream and even for a timid target, struggle has to be intense!
Atul K Thakur
Email: summertickets@gmail.com
(Published in Governance now on February05,2013)

India’s financial regulator at loggerheads!

At the height of the ongoing worldwide recession, the Fed chief, Ben Bernake’s predictably shocked appearances used to discourage we all, who so far didn’t stopped believing in the might of otherwise a foregone power-‘central banks’. The current case of RBI’s Chairman-D.Shubbarao is not much different after escaping his contagious ‘smile’ that essentially translates nothing much than invisible ‘unease’ around him. And here, common men have to pass through a sort of ‘illiteracy syndrome’ every-time while decoding such unbreakable code.

Ironically, unrelenting mysterious smiley’s from the RBI’s head is troubling for this dreaming nation alike, as finance ministry responds every such move with the irritated doses of ‘we will march alone’ and other principles, which are practically unconquerable. A close look on the financial policy making suggests the inherent contradiction within it. The ambiguity on two goals, respectively, lower inflation and high growth is the basic reason behind the unusual mock and verbal tussle between north block and mint street. This unworthy raw is a fruitless exercise without having any clear end in its sight.

The RBI’s stubbornness on keeping interest rates in anti-growth mode has deteriorated the chances of bouncing back for Indian economy, which is grappling with a very odd combination of high inflation and lower growth. In all, the rational part of governance is completely lacking even now, for pushing up the momentum in right course. Earlier, the meltdown sentiment had favoured RBI and its conservative role with ‘no touch and playing safe’ approaches were hailed like ‘concert of chimes’.

Those difficulties have given a new sort of complex time for the Indian financial market, where the issues of working or not on the stated agenda are heavily depends upon the rapport, finance ministry and RBI maintains. It utterly disappoints, the way RBI is losing ‘ease’ with the government and attention from the core issues. Here, it will be also worthwhile to recall that somewhere government too is overstepping in the shoes of central bankers-the abrupt announcement of more private sector banks in the budget speech of Pranab Mukherjee and later lax handling by the RBI on this shows the prevailing s state of affairs.

After twenty-one years of liberalisation programme, Indian economy has grown up in the size and maximization of the wealth is also no longer a ‘non-reality’ for the different income groups. But in these years, the income gap has also spiraled up like never before and the ‘income security’, which both the good socialistic and capitalistic system necessitates, as the programme to execute has been cornered over the years. The system, which walks with the two foremost powers- regulation and capital, is not keeping concern for an equitable system under immense pressure from the cronies and political classes, with large though hidden business interests.

However, not to miss the case of allowing fair and advanced banking in the country, the RBI must ensure the action requires without stopping the strict regulatory watch over the players in the fray of financial sector. As at some point of time, the buzz of innovation too needs careful handling. On this count, the RBI has so far responded well with treating the exotic financial products quite stringently. But its proactive part remained in hibernation, when chances arose to lift the Indian financial market out of working below potential.

Once the RBI was a well shaped moderator but under the changing pattern of financial businesses, it’s falling in the league of its peers, where the desperation is virtue in dealing with the stagnant economies. Much to dismay of the optimists, finance can no longer be handled with the extreme of liberal or stringent set of rules; instead believing in the capacity of spontaneous action by the leadership would make tone much better. In all weather and season, the RBI’s governor should know the pulses of economy down from the rural terrains to the up-market areas of metro cities.

The balancing exercise would be critical here to the further course of action for India’s financial market. The combination of populist politics and over mechanized economic bureaucracy would do no well to the India’s economy, which is in perplexed state on its own future. Knowing where to act effectively in the policy making would solve the petty issues in the high circle that causes endless troubles to the believers of sound financial administration. Access to the institutional finance plays vital role in ensuring the fair chances of employment for the youths.

The entrepreneurial zeal is not weak in India albeit more practical banking approaches are the need of this hour. Still, it would be wrong for the RBI or finance ministry to compare India with the western economies, which have shaped through the different historical developments and ofcourse with the support of colonial projects. India can’t go artificially in the history for overlooking on odd economic issues.

Unlike, India as a new nation and old civilisational land, needs to keep growing and under the aegis of its commendable democratic system. Neither the totalitarian China nor the lightly floating USA would make India, what its majority of people dreams relentlessly. The loggerheads must stop and RBI should think for the common men and business communities too, as nothing would go untoward hereafter!
Atul K Thakur
November2nd, 2012, Friday
Email: summertickets@gmail.com
(Published in Governance now,dated on November10, 2012)

The RBI's unsavoury policy dictates!

The RBI has been the master of all weathers and seasons concerning India’s financial sector. It holds the pulse of the national economy with tempestuous effects. But even with all its prominence, the RBI has seldom crossed the contoured spirits which obfuscate the existing macroeconomic scenario. The scrimmages from its side are causing for the fixture of topsy-turvy status in the policy domain, finally making the broad-brush more frequent than the desirable spunky actions. Until two years back, world was witnessing the central bankers sullen acts; India was indeed a sort of exception so far. But things have entered in torsion once the India’s impregnable finance ministry and the RBI got struck in the endless war stimulated by the ‘egoists’.

It’s clear that, the finance ministry is the most important place in India after the Prime Minister’s Office --this sounds awkward but becomes evident when seen against the recent reshuffling in ministries, when the serving home minister was called to hold the command of economy. This marks the moral bankruptcy, as the new finance minister will be hardly reckoning the plight of the economy which originated through the clash of interest between real and rave components -- moreover, he lacks the critical tributes like acceptance and expertise for handling a diverse economy like India’s.

This mischance will boost many inside the RBI, who earlier relied on static and soft monetary policies that at least in last one-and-half-years have cut India from both of its central economic ideologies based on ‘half-willing socialism’ and ‘half-sighted dreams of reform’. Among the list of blunders, the RBI’s extraneous policy regarding the licensing of new banks under the private sector refers the unique misunderstanding of the whole issue. It’s obvious that, the RBI is not keen on banking licenses for corporates, not to work with any neo-egalitarian model of banking based on ‘maximum happiness’ of clients of different types and figures but for securing the power to superseded the boards of existing banks and leaving the case of banking expansion in its backyard.

The insistence of the central bank on amendments to the Banking Regulation Act by the Parliament as a prerequisite for any potential flex on banking licensing is flawed and objectionable. It may be true that none of India’s NBFCs are fit enough for the award of baking business, though the many interested public sector entities could be taken for a ride under the joint venture in private partnership. Also, there would have been nothing wrong by downing the obstination on allowing corporate world at large to enter the fray of banking based on competency, not by the channel of cronyism.

By the impression of numbers, India’s corporate sector is performing but by the spirits, in no manner it’s worth of calling ‘robust’. By an example, almost all heads of India’s private sector banks have downplayed the chances for few more private banks, citing the already high competition and its aftereffects on their businesses. These were all untoward statements with no technical precision or understanding of a height of possible stagnation with which India’s banks will be reckoning sooner than the later. Banking should be means for the profit but not for the oligopoly; unfortunately, the reverse is the case in India today -- not surprising in present scenario, if the SBI has lost its tag of being the most valued bank in market terms from one of its shrewd peers.

Notwithstanding its actual role, the RBI is maintaining silence over the future growth of India’s financial sector, which has been safe more for its undersized ambition than the claimed ‘prudence’. This is totally ironic watching the curtain down on the future of India’s more than 55 percent unbanked citizens and overall the growth of financial sector at large. The path India’s banking has travelled so far hardly allows one to part the views between progressivism and ultra-materialism, here the things have to be seen in the right context. Public sector banking was more a hedging intervention, so it would be unfair considering the nationalisation of banks as the complete socialistic manifestation. PSBs/RRBs played their role immensely well and would do more good under the perfect competition around the every nook and corner.

Not even remotely, the arrival of few more banks would harm their business; contrarily it would help the sagging market sentiments to get an upward touch. Instead fearing and sharing those misleading apprehensions, the RBI should create a true healthy work culture in PSBs/RRBs, which are remarkable by their business and reach.

RRBs especially deserves much better deal in terms of human resource policies. It’s shocking to see the RBI/finance ministry’s dualism in taking them as at par with the PSBs, where the service benefits like pension is now the part of system. This discrimination should be ended by introducing the service provisions including of pensions for the RRBs employees on the line of PSBs With more than 17,000 branches across the India’s rural heartlands and the small towns, RRBs can be seen as the engine of rural growth in India -- so they need an immediate broad unification at the national level with an effective professional board, which can lead the rural banking for more inclusive businesses.

India’s jobless growth or the slow industrial momentums are the outcome of chronic passivism from the RBI for the mass issues. It’s not more than an excuse in passing the fault on global financial uncertainty by the India’s policy regime for the present mess-up at domestic front. The last two decades of India’s growth story was based on the domestic consumption strength, rather than on any other fancied factors. This should be the time of reckoning by India’s central bank, moving clearly and with a goal must be the basic catch which it has been missing for long under its mix of placid shows off and painful affects. Until India’s central bankers will rise from their very long slumbering, any hope to see the financial sector on bloom would be near about the day dreaming in a rainfed season like the present!
Atul Kumar Thakur
August31st2012,Friday
Email: summertickets@gmail.com
(Published in Governance now on August27th 2012/ http://governancenow.com/views/columns/rbis-unsavoury-policy-dictates )

MSMEs financing bottlenecks!

The markets are in jittery, and for valid reasons. The rupee has hit an all-time low of 53 and macroeconomic indicators of the economy are sagging. Industrial production is on a downward spiral. Policymaking is ground to an apparent halt, and the rollback of the decision to open up multi-brand retail has sapped investor confidence. The negative growth registered in industrial production in October, a sharp 5.1% decline, and shows that industrial productivity is slowing far more rapidly than expected.

All these pose greater risks for overall economic growth in 2011-12, already watered down to 7.6%, with further downward revision on the cards. For now, slowdown worries take their toll on capital goods and companies stocks. Its impact is going to be more severe on micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs), which have been already running through bad time a rough patch, affected with huge financing gap and consistent decline in global demand for their products.

Despite being hamstrung by these, MSMEs rely on open market for their business finance, as internal mobilisation through informal sources makes the business more vulnerable. Though the socioeconomic importance of MSMEs is well recognised in academic and policy circles, they are starved of funds, with little interest shown by institutional investors. The priority sector lending policy outlines that 40%of net bank credit of public and private sector banks must be earmarked for those sectors, which include MSMEs. The policy stipulates 32%of net bank credit of foreign banks for the priority sectors, of which 10%is allocated to MSMEs. But barring regional rural banks, how many banks comply with this criterion? In the absence of proper channelisation, the mandated allocation hardly makes a difference to the business of the firms get financed by them.

Here, it’s imperative to keep in mind that the MSME sector is not homogenous, but is constituted by three different sub-sectors. These sub-sectors need to be serviced separately. For micro enterprises, access to credit is priority. For small enterprises, access to credit is relatively easy, though limited, and therefore remains important along with cost. For medium enterprises, access to institutional finance is easy though the cost incurred on credit is quite high. Collateral based lending offered by banks and financing companies is normally made up of a combination of asset-based finance, contribution-based finance and factoring-based finance using reliable debtors and guarantors. Substantial numbers of MSMEs are falling short on collateralised security needed for bank loans, and lack the prospect of high returns to attract formal venture capitalists and other risk investors like private equity funds. Moreover, market is also suffering from deficient information, diluting the effectiveness of financial statement based lending and credit scoring.

The sector expects that the government will take the decision to earmark 20%share in public procurement (wherein it will procure 25-30%of its needs from MSMEs), a proposal which is hanging fire for quite some time. Anil Bhardwaj, secretary-general of Federation on Indian Small and Medium Enterprises (FISME), observes that “this will work as lifeline in ongoing slowdown. To ramp exports, FISME has suggested the need to take up export promotion in urgency to enhance MSME participation in export from 0.5% to 5% in next 10 years”. For this to happen, the prevailing support mechanism, which heavily rely on Export Promotion Council for exposing MSME s to export market, has to be discarded. FISME also has valid reasons to criticise the RBI’s indifferent approach on MSME finance, but their demand for separate financial regulator for MSME seems not practical. Because, it alone wouldn’t ensure the micro centric approaches of new regulator on these small businesses, also after a certain point, policy must be shaped with optmising the interests of industries involved and its end consumers. So, basic idea should be at the ground to address the odds, which restraining the finances of this segment of industries.

James Carville, who advised US President Bill Clinton, once remarked that for being ecstatic on bond markets, “I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I wanted to comeback as President or the Pope or as a 400 baseball hitter. But now I would like to come as bond market, you can intimidate anybody.” Such is the negativism about the bond market even in western economies, but surprisingly that hardly directs the saving towards financing MSMEs worldwide.

Venture capital, as financial intermediary, also not providing viability to MSMEs for better engagement; the basic proposition could be found through their working model, that being able to secure finance is critical and most difficult for any business. It’s applicable to startups seeking venture fund or mid-size companies that need cash to grow up. So venture capital is most suitable for business with large up-front capital requirements which can’t be financed by cheaper alternative such as debt. Another financing option, private equity shows explicit interest s in typical leveraged transaction, where it buys majority control of a growing or mature firm. This works different from a venture capital or growth capital investment fund in which the investors invest in young business and rarely bids for decisive control. Beyond these lesser suitable options, bank remains the most appropriate route for bridging the gap of financing for MSMEs. So, it’s essential, bank come forward for effective partnership with MSMEs which is the engine of growth.
Atul Kumar Thakur
December 15, 2011, Wednesday, New Delhi
Email: summertickets@gmail.com

Reckoning Basel-III Norms!

Following the recent financial meltdown, the leaders of the group of G-20economies asked the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision{BCBS} to reach the new rules needed to prevent another financial crisis in future. The aim was to mitigate the greed ridden financial crisis instead to block the real factors behind it; real notion of Basel-III norms could be sensed out with the statement of Hant Wellink, head of Basel Committee on Banking Supervision-“Partly banks will have to retain profit for years which they can not use to pay shareholders or bonuses.
For another part, this will vary from bank to bank; they will have to get it from the capital market. I think it will make a new crisis less likely. Chances are much smaller, we have made calculations on this but we can’t rule it out completely”. Last Para reflect the genuine apprehension ahead in financial market…so; life even after the Basel-III norms wouldn’t remain indifferent from regulatory considerations.

Basel-III norms, with its underlying proposition of insulating banks from adverse shocks by adequately enhancing the amount of its own capital holding compared to overall deposits and other borrowing can be regarded as an improved and standard set of rules over the existing Basel-II norms. Rule of Basel-III norms written by the Bank of International Settlement’s Committee on Banking Supervision {BCBS} with lucid mandates to define the reform agenda for the banking sector across the world. The new rule comprehensively entails how to asses risks and capital management anticipating theirs risk bearing.
On September20,2010 {Sunday}, agreement finally taken place on Basel-III at a meeting of Central bank Governors and top Supervisors from 27 countries chaired by ECB President, Jean Clande Trichet. They reached to the consensus with focusing on prevention of any further International Credit Crisis with provisioning more than triple of top quality capital as reserve for addressing any meltdown sort of occurrences.

Predominant component of capital is common equity and retained earnings-new rules restrict inclusion of items such as deferred tax assets, mortgage-servicing rights and investments in financial institutions to no more than 15%of the common equity component. Here strong bank would avail an edge as now they can put excess cash to better use though with ample transition period for raising funds to compliance shouldn’t be any big issue for even smaller banks. The new norms are centered around the renewed focus of Central bankers on Macro-prudential stability. The global financial meltdown following the crisis in U.S Sub-prime market has shaped the entire propositions. Earlier guidelines, popularly known as Basel-II was focused on Macro prudential regulation, those features being carried out in Basel-III norms as well with added advanced support. That systemizes the changed motives of regulators now-they have eagle eyes on financial stability of the system in totality rather than Micro regulation of any individual bank.
Under the Basel-III norms, Key Capital Ratio has been raised to 7%of risky assets-Tier-I capital that includes common equity and perpetual preferred stock will be raised from 2 to 4.5% starting in phases from January2013 to be accomplished by January2015. Moreover, banks will have to set aside another2.5%as a contingency for future stress, taking the overall capital ratio or Capital Conservation Buffer to 7%. Banks that would fail to comply after the stipulated timeline would be unable to pay dividends, though they will not be forced to raise cash.

A further counter-cyclical buffer in average of 0%-2.5%of common equity is to be imposed depending on specific circumstances of an economy to protect the banking sector from periods of excess aggregate credit growth. In addition, a liquidity buffer, much like our Statutory Liquidity Ratio {SLR} is to be made mandatory by January2018 to check the risk based measures and higher capital norms for systemically important bank. On paper, Basel-III will triple the quantum of capital, banks will need to maintain but whether it will risk-proof the banking sector is doubtful. So, regulation would decide whether Basel-III norms is light touch set of rule or indeed an effective panacea for hassle free and ethical functioning of banking system.

Impact on Indian banks: - RBI Governor, D.Subbarao is stoutly confident that Indian banks not likely to be adversely impacted by the new capital rules. At the end of June30, 2010; the aggregate capital to risk –weighted assets ratio of the Indian banking system stood at 13.4% of which Tier-I capital constituted 9.3%. So, it wouldn’t leave any pressure on Indian banks in near future albeit there may be some negative impact arising from shifting some deductions from Tier-I and Tier-II capital to common equity.
Despite strong fundamentals, RBI should ensure even more capital than essentially stipulated limit under the Basel-III norms; besides stress must be given on long term capital inflow rather on risky short term investments. Besides, innovative credit policies, RBI should also stringently ensure the well capitalized subsidiary structure for foreign banks and financial institutions operating in India, since the stability of Indian banking system have lot to with it.

Young Committee that recommended for the establishment of Bank of International Settlements {BIS} in1930 had enough sense for volatility in International financial market and greed’s of bankers. Actual effects of even best designed rules are of no value if lacked by the competent, proactive and fearless supervision. Strengthening the global banking system should be and must be the aim of every new financial rules but it’s equally imperative to stop the adverse lobbying that makes regulation nothing more than a print order. We can easily assume this from recently enacted Dodd Frank Act {Wall Street and Consumer Protection Act} in U.S.A which loosing its effects under the stern pressure from affluent lobbyist.
Regulation couldn’t have any parallel while enforcing a law; our regulatory strength has recently tested during the world wide financial meltdown-Indian banking relatively emerged unscratched comparing the western counterparts. More attention is needed from developed world for compliance of rules envisaged under the Basel-III norms-make or break of this rule would be decided by the both Individual as well collective performances of economies. Co-operation at international level would be the real bone of contention for an ambitious rule like Basel-III…meanwhile let’s watch the movements around the financial circle!
Atul Kumar Thakur
October20, 2010, Wednesday, New Delhi
atul_mdb@rediffmail.com

Bank Licensing: Task Ahead for RBI

Finance Minister’s pronouncement for further banking license during the last budget speech marked a significant change in Indian banking sector-since last sixteen years, RBI has tried best to optimize the scale of reform in banking sector, by giving nod to UTI {now Axis Bank}for full fledged banking was the way forward in the direction of core competency.
Later entry of some more banks in 2004,enhanced the efficiency in Indian banking scenario-now the condition has changed significantly over the years as technological up-gradation have played very crucial role in meantime. Infusion of over Rs17, 000 crore on technologies since 1999 and relatively unscratched overcoming of Indian banking from global financial meltdown have paving the way for next level of transition under sound regulatory norms of RBI; so, time is opportune for banking in India to transform itself at the level of global standard.
Amidst the growing speculation, officials of RBI have in mind some basic inquisitions, like how many licenses should be issued? What should be the minimum capital requirement? Whether NBFCs should be allowed to convert into banks? Whether Industrial houses should be considered for granting banking license? Obviously for a year ahead, these concerns would cap the regulators like cloud though above all the same meticulousness and regulatory oversight will be the catalyst.
At initial level, RBI is going to post a draft guideline for both the general and expert comments by the end of July; afterwards the notice would be issued for application-in next and final stage, High Power Committee would review the applications and come out with their decisions-entire process will take at least a year.

Indeed, in all manners, RBI has to play pivotal role with its regulatory oversight-it must have to take into account the credibility of the promoter, that means no bank license for loan defaulters; RBI and Finance Ministry, both agreed on strict scrutiny of Books& Accounts ahead of issuing new licenses.
The second most imperative condition is business plan of prospective contenders, they must be asked for a long term plans of business with essential proposition to improve operations of banking Industry in India.
Anticipating the significance of a banking license in this country, contenders must have to demonstrate their vision in terms of enhancement and strengthening of banking business before and after their inclusion in banking sphere-only greed for profit sounds very unethical which hardly create incentive for the regulatory officials who have to play much larger task in terms of streamlining the financial inclusion and financial architecture of the country.

Moreover financial deepening should be and must be the priority task of India’s Central Bank {RBI}, as it forwardly entwined with the growth prospects of economy at this juncture, there wouldn’t be any denial for entry of sufficient new banks for improving the business outlook which despite making progress still lagging behind of actual turn around.
As per the RBI data, retail advances have grown from 10%to 20% of total advances, growth of return on assets from 0.4%to 1%, reduction in Non Performing Assets{NPA} from 6%to less then1%, fall in cost-income ratio from 67%to 44%-on the other side, from total 95 banks, we have 53,000 branch, only 40% people having bank accounts, 25.1 million no-frill accounts have opened in last two years-but they all hardly justified the actual potential of Indian banking which possess worth of 95%of India’s total GDP.

In 1994-95, RBI had issued 10 licenses for new banks, next time in 2003-04, numbers fallen down to merely two-with more applicants this time, RBI has flexible options to make sensible choices, absolutely number wouldn’t cross the double digit this time but its also unlikely that it would juggled beneath the five-six new licenses.
Level of capital requirements needs to be optimized as per the existing needs and better implication for banking business as it’s a crucial determinant of financial inclusion and growth. Some other issues, like granting fresh licenses rather conversion of NBFCs and retaining of RBI’s stand for not issuing the banking licenses to the industrial houses must remain intact as they don’t gives the broad view.

RBI can also contemplate to issue group licensing with limited voting rights of 10% as they would provide a diversified opportunity with group control-under present regulatory norms, especially on the wake of global recession, this could be another rational choice-there’s lot of room available for banking in India, as still around 70 million population is out of its purview, so it makes sense to tap these unexplored opportunity through introducing sufficient numbers of new banks as next course of action.
Atul Kumar Thakur
June 3, 2010, Thursday, New Delhi
atul-mdb@rediffmail.com

Goldman Sachs-You too Brute!

Now, when the things started to slowly settled down at the Wall Street and regulators found time to back in their usual business; a new storm meanwhile again breakdown those slight cheering-this time, fraud originated from iconic investment bank Goldman Sachs through creation of huge investment designed to fail. The fraud struck inside the Goldman Sachs marks an unusual tracts as the firm marketed mortgage-backed securities as they sought to make profits by betting that such securities would plummet in value –surprisingly, regulatory norms in U.S.A never legally prohibited such act until the fraud broke out, now Securities and Exchange Commission {SEC}has making some statuary advances and now labeling charge on Goldman Sachs for creating and marketing securities that were deliberately designed to fail.
So top notch client could make money off that failure-unfortunately such case is not alone confined with Goldman Sachs, impropriety is still rampant among the top-notch professionals in financial sector and within a year, they forget about the alarm of bailouts…Lloyd Blankfein, CEO of Goldman Sachs is still dwelling with the complacency of $3.46 billion dollars profit which his bank has made in the last quarter of previous financial year and hardly paying any heed to the civil suit which SEC has filled on 16th April.

This clearly marks the falling ethical standard in financial sector-this case has strengthened the belief that any expectations for voluntary compliance of ethical practices are void, so regulatory norms that govern these sorts of transactions needed an immediate tectonic shift. Rectification must start from a statuary mandate to all derivative trade on exchange and in standard contracts, not in customized, built to suit arrangements like the ones Goldman created in this new episode.
Hedging as an instrument met with misdemeanor through such occurrence, usually banks that have lent money to low-credit borrowers use swaps as a hedge that ensure them from further defaults-till this stage nothing seems wrong but it’s only one side of history. The grave problem is that Credit Default Swaps {CDS} route is open to anyone even to those who haven’t possess any sort of credibility-this led to reckless speculation to bet on entities, in which even they don’t have any entitlement that in loose terms present cases like letting your neighbor take out an insurance policy on your life.

These unhygienic practices by the smart guys from Wall Street who placed on top order after scoring high grades in Ivy League business schools hardly resemble any constructiveness in their professional involvement. Crux of problem lies in the pushing of the unaware entities into these risky schemes-such like ABASCUS2007-AC1; most of them were foreign banks and pension funds, they lost about a billion dollars.
Top order of management at Goldman Sachs were pressed through greed’s to convey right message to customers that investments offered by the bank were supported by very risky mortgages in an already over-priced U.S Housing market-major factor of these shading was Johan Paulson{a billionaire investor}who influenced the bank’s selection of these instrument since he knows they were bad risks but going to beneficial from personnel shake-he alone made billions of dollars by indulging in betting that loan in transaction would fail. It’s quite astonishing to see again the insurer of Goldman Sachs, AIG to indulge in such bad deal within a year after its massive bailout with $180 billion, hard earned money of taxpayers.

The entire case is a brazen example of predatory use of mass investors in favour of few mighty by adopting the means of misinterpretation and deceiving through the myopic route of Collateralized Debt Obligations {CDO}. This is an explicit crime from high ranked officials who are unlikely to face any stern action even after all disclosure-rather they may be awarded with multi million dollars as bonus with the bailouts money. It’s hard to expect from these greedy professionals to display their skills for social betterment…running Ferrari and making millions dollars would remain their pastime for job regardless of this disastrous fraud. As the last resorts, the regulators have to perform their final duty…what one can expect more from them than some more initiatives in financial sector reform especially in the derivatives trading. Greed must be controlled and choreographed to adapt with the limitation of real life…
Atul Kumar Thakur
April 24th 2010, Saturday, New Delhi
atul_mdb@rediffmail.com

Challenges before Financial Inclusion Plan & Role of Financial Institutions

Financial inclusion plan today conceived in most of corner as “buzzword” which sometimes under evaluate its actual area of impact-as this movement refers towards potential spread of institutional finance and financial awareness to cater the needs of hitherto unbanked segment of society, so it becomes imperative to judge the set of problems actually persists and its best suitable redressal. Historically, India as a nation and economy remains stoutly attached with the rural landscape and agrarian activities-despite consistently falling of primary sector’s {Agriculture}contribution in overall GDP, the proportion of headcounts involved in agrarian occupation still constitutes around two-third of total workforce in country.
Though alone the numbers of personal involvement in the agrarian sector doesn’t reflect the healthy trend in terms of prosperity or other developmental indices in comparison with the dwellers of services and or industry-primary reason of such asymmetry lies in disguised nature of employment potential in agrarian sector and very low access to institutional benefits, most notably of institutional financial access. The most visible reason that can be sighted is-low awareness among the persons who placed near or at bottom of pyramid about the benefits of banking to their personnel and professional life; indeed the case is much rampant in rural areas yet that shouldn’t be blamed alone for such materialization.

Infact,role of financial institutions except the Regional Rural Banks and some Scheduled Commercial Banks, remains far from satisfaction-on one side where Co-operative banks by and large caught in unhealthy business executions-on the other side, role of private Non Banking Financial Companies {NBFCs}and Micro Financial Institutions {MFIs}have been largely revolved around their exorbitant profit making proposition. In such condition, it’s hardly surprising that most of illiterate, downtrodden peoples especially in rural areas found themselves far from being fit to dwell with these financial players. Even worst, responsible banking as it slowly appearing within Indian banking as well, also counts merely the number of accounts opened as a real achievement of financial inclusion which poses adverse ramification on advanced participation in the sphere of institutional finance.
Here a lot of things have to be done for maximization and naturalization of partnership between financial excluded class and financial institutions involved in this sphere-equally imperative is financial literacy that plays real catalyst in optimization of financial access and its suitable management for better results. At the same time, banking research and survey have to be more pragmatic in streamlining the particular financial products for proper effectiveness since a lot of confusions are still prevailing about even the basic function of many concept-for example, Microfinance business , atleast in Indian context, these entities are hardly demonstrating their claim of actual Micro financial functions-most of them are acts like micro lender who provides micro credit unlike the real broad meaning; in real terms, Microfinance indeed have very broad range of function-from lending –investment to insurance function.

Unique Identification Numbers {UID}is a welcome concept that would at least end the traumatic web of verification of Know Your Customers {KYC} norms albeit it shouldn’t be taken as panacea for financial inclusion plan. Primarily, RRBs and other Scheduled Commercial Banks are catering the needs of institutional finance in rural areas-these institutions are now heading to assist the innovative models-such as Self Help Groups {SHGs}, this one is a visionary model in India context which emphasized on the collective effort on entrepreneurship-indeed, this model is feasible yet if added some more closer collaboration with the banks and SHGs with essential products like-Insurance, Mutual Funds etc, that’s outcome would be certainly appear more brighter. Integration of Indian economy with the outside world has drastically changed the outlook of banking business in India-on the wake of global financial crisis, Indian banking sector remains relatively unscratched through bad exposure and now catching the attention from world wide because of its sound regulatory norms and huge domestic market including a big chunk of untapped rural markets.
Moreover, the two upcoming changes in Indian banking-consolidation and foraying of new banking players may have far reaching effects for rural India as the style and focus; both are going to shape under the new dynamicism. In most of cases, stiff competition under the open economy leaves positive impact on end users-so; in near future there may be possibility of rationalization among the private MFIs to shift from existing exorbitant rate of lending. Challenges are many before the empowerment of end users with better financial inclusion, yet it’s possible through better regulation and streamlining the innovative practices in financial sector that can effectively address the actual plight of financially untapped.
Atul Kumar Thakur
November 24th 2010 {Wednesday}
New Delhi
atul_mdb@rediffmail.com

Falling of the Dubai Dreams

Clamoring is quite high after the Dubai debt crisis has put a halt on the six-year boom in the Emirates real estate sector. In recent times, Dubai almost became a conglomerate of real estate companies; it refused to accept the harsh reality and uninterruptedly pronounced its ambition to become the world financial centre with lot of funds pouring into real estate, including housing.
There was infact a madding rush among the rich peoples to brought some property in Dubai, a huge proportion of them was from India who had an inflated dream to be a part of that potential growth story. Dubai which is synonymous with the super creations has high stake of artificiality and illusionary stuffs within its core foundation.

Its position is of one among the seven small Emirates that’s form the United Arab of Emirates (UAE) and known for its huge oil resources, so, obviously Dubai’s economy was also originally built on oil revenue like other Emirates; but now its oil reserves have drastically diminished and expected to be very obscure in next two decade.
So, the authorities of Dubai had came out with diversification of economy towards service oriented trade, tourism and finance; state’s hyper incentives like ninety-nine year visa plan had fuelled that sentiments although very soon promises of such liberal visa programme have been scrapped and now being offered to only six months which creating huge impasse among the reality investors from across the world and especially from developing Asian economies.

In the early phases of global financial crisis, emergence of Dubai as top-notch financial centre were taken as an unprecedented opportunity in the gulf region and also conceived as potentiality to escape from the problematic Wall Street failure. So, Dubai initially gained from Wall Street crisis and blindly inspired for global integration; today more than eighty percent of its population are constituted through the expatriates, among half of them are from India.
India, fortunately despite accounting around forty percent of Dubai’s population, its financial exposure is relatively too small; the Indian banks and real estate companies that operate there haven’t reported major outstanding debt albeit, Indian migrants be would share significantly in upcoming job losses.

The State Bank of India has an exposure of about Rs1, 700 crore and the Bank of Baroda has let Rs4, 000 crore; private sector banks have far larger exposures but not so much to see its impacts on macro scale.
Although India’s large real estate companies have bit of more exposure than banks but the hope persists that they are not in danger of loosing their shirts in Dubai. However, what the country does need to worry about is inbound investment from Dubai, especially in ports; Dubai World’s subsidiary, DP World is an important player in India and its $500 million investment plan for the country might be affected.
The crux of Dubai’s debt crisis left a lesson for India relates to the risk of opening up its financial markets with reckless speed and without building in proper regulatory safeguards, what India needs presently to de-link the further exposure from Dubai and must stop scouting for fresh opportunities till crisis halted.
Amazingly, in the end October, Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI) has organized a day long seminar in New Delhi with the Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC) to trace the new avenues of trades, Prime Minister of India also attended this programme nevertheless, at least for the time being, such initiatives must be checked and any further investment endeavor also restrained with this crisis ridden economy otherwise our sharing may be strikingly rise to the danger level…a tepid response from our side is an appropriate answer to this greed driven crisis.

Dubai World, the investment conglomerate of the Sheikhdom at the centre of the crisis, has a debt of $59 billion- a major component of Dubai’s total debt of $80 billion. Further its announcement of delay of debt payment for at least six months tumbled the world stock markets, following which business confidence around the world deteriorated.
The U.S.dollar also strengthened against a basket of global currencies in the last couple of fortnights, this trend is likely to continue in the short term and in turn, put pressure on equity market. Trend is going to be some how reversal from immediate past when both accounted and unaccounted global money started chasing real estate lending to even “day trading” in real estate, there was even cases of buying in the morning and selling in evening, but eventually things were fall apart as excesses of anything has a limit.

Recklessness was all around the corner, DP World; subsidiary of state owned Dubai World purchased the British Ports operator P&O in 2005 and became the fourth largest Ports operator in the world. Later it also brought the department store group Barneys New York in 2007 and has since invested heavily in construction project in Las Vegas (U.S.A); following the same path property developers Nakheel had infused billion of dollars on creation of an artificial island – Palm Jumeriah.
So, naturally things had to burst out as these all moves were flowing out of stream and capacity with huge amount of unaccounted black monetary sources, that’s now going to create worrisome situation for lakhs of entangled investors.
The basic things which worth of anticipating is now, Dubai would be bail out from current mess but demands of unparalleled luxury would remain a grave constraint; from the investor’s point of view, sluggish trade movement and low return on their investment will be a haunting reality in near future. Anyway, Abu Dhabi with its reserve of $700 billion Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs) could be a safest bailer for Dubai in present circumstances but any other experiment of options like credit default swaps or other derivative instruments can hardly attain the goal now.
For the time being, Dubai must approach for regional co-operation with its other six Emirates and especially with the Abu Dhabi can earn some solace for remaining world as they have already suffered a lot from policy misadventurism. Eventually, luxury has its own spaces but austerity can makes humankind happier with less worries and mind without fears.

Atul Kumar Thakur
November 6th2009, New Delhi
atul_mdb@rediffmail.com

Paradoxes of Banking Consolidation

Heading through the cutting edge of modern finances, sometimes policy makers tends for noble experiments with its existing businesses to break the inertia or status quo.
In recent quarters, banking industry and even the overall financial sector has witnessed upright positional shifts with unpleasant repercussions; reasons are many and it’s an open secret now but such eventuality couldn’t be easily surpassed through only following the cunning tactics instead to enlighten the knowledge of history and maximum avoidance of willy-nilly practices would be somehow more healing.

Banking consolidation in Indian context very much seems paradoxical, because Indian banking is too diverse to accommodate in single policy frame.
These banks are possessing numbers of inheritances in their own set of condition; for Regional Rural Banks (RRBs) consolidation has enhanced its efficiency but same can’t be true for other banks because of their distinct compositions.so, the foremost task should be to assess the overall nature of their structural and operational pattern and then strive for next innovations. India’s public sector banks (PSBs) including of RRBs were emerged through a very cautious deliberation to imparting banking facilities for larger masses under the vigilant regulation of Reserve Bank of India.

To a certain extant Indian banks have done commendable job in last four decades to penetrate through the requirements of institutional credit and remaining banking facilities in both urban and rural areas; despite this India is still a shabbily under banked country.
Banks are still lending less than half of as proportion to Gross Domestic Product, what a strong economy without exposing to hyper inflation should have; Indian banking here need to follow the basics, the same way in which it succeeded during recent downturns. On the operational side bank must choose to focus on rural segments where the maladies of private lending are still persisting; by appropriating a hassle free day to day banking practices and more rationalization of service charges from less empowered and under banked population.

Private sector lenders must also endeavor in similar way since the rural areas are still unexplored and they may be heaven of business in coming years; of course their expertise in local conditions rather than their size going to determine the pace of their success.
Today ensuring swift financial inclusion should be the top task before the government to keep the wolf from the door (Avoiding hunger); indeed that would need more meticulous exploitation of our own expertise rather than borrowing the abandoned outdated western ideas of banking consolidation.

United States President Mr.Barack Obama has recently reiterating his fear for unnecessarily big size of banks which creates hurdles in operational efficiency; in same manner top western economists including Joseph Stiglitz, who is known for his fair speaking, preaching the cautions to escape the loopholes of banks giant size.
Stiglitz has firm view that” banks too large to fall may also be too difficult to handle…crux of his opinion is to move in the direction of rationalization of policies as per the local conditions and requirements instead to lost in the unrealistic myopia of universal model to consolidate the banking business to its last extant.

Indeed, up gradation of services instead of size that going to help the banking industry at large…we have account of sixty nine bank failures in ongoing financial meltdown and countless bankruptcies of both institutions and common men’s through unrealistic experiments.
Failure of giant Lehmen Brothers that was many fold bigger in its size to India’s largest bank State Bank of India(SBI) shows us that true competency does not necessarily lies in its size…Indian banks are not crooks, so our brooks certainly
not spoil them.
Atul Kumar Thakur
Octobers8th2009, New Delhi

SMEs Financial Worries

SMEs have emerged as the most vibrant sector of the Indian economy accounting for about 95% of industrial units in the country. The sector contributes approximately 40% of value edition in manufacturing and around 45% exports. It has emerged as a panacea for providing employment to around 42 million persons and promoter of inclusive economic growth.
The Planning Commissions Working Group on SMEs for the 11th Five Year Plan has estimated that SMEs need approximately Rs3000 billion in working and term loans during the plan period. This sector remains neglected since long time; a reliable database on the sector concerning with heterogeneous range of activities is the need of hour which would boost the proper policy framing.

The next step should be developing a capital market exclusively for SMEs on the lines of Alternate Investment Market (AIMs) of London, NASDAQ, NSE and even NIKKEI have separate windows for small companies. Earlier OTCEI and INDONEXT were promoted by BSE for the same purpose albeit both experiments failed; hence optimum precaution must be put in place in any further endeavors in this regard.
In present circumstances SMEs are unable to borrow sufficient funds that is absolutely alarming for both the immediate and long term perspectives; the share of Micro enterprise in net bank credit witnessed a sharp decline from 42 percent from 2002-03 to 2.8 percent in 2007-08.

The share of enterprise with an investment below Rs5 lakh fails more drastically from 2.2 percent to 1.6 percent of total bank credit over the same period. Besides SMEs sector also requires dedicated Venture Capital Funds that must be willing to invest anything between Rs2 crore and Rs50 crore to facilitate innovation in SMEs.
Presently, Private Venture Capital funds prefer to invest Rs50 crore or more and are hence irrelevant to SMEs. In view of the enormous demand for equity capital for SMEs in the country, a major initiative is required in this direction.

Challenges are heading much faster; according to All India Census (2001-02), only 14.2 percent of the registered and 3.09 percent of the unregistered Small Scale Industries (SSIs) had availed themselves of bank finances.
SMEs are vehicle of inclusive with huge potential for employment generation, therefore it wouldn’t be viable to surpass the rudimentary requirements of this sector; Basel II Norms on Banking Supervision and Mandelson plan in UK could be the fine example before Indian government to infuse financial support to SMEs.
MSMEs (Medium and Small Scale Industries) Act, 2006 modified the title enterprise instead of industry to provide proper recognition to the service sector and conferred pride of place to Micro-enterprises; ceilings are also redefined now as up to Rs25 lakh is called a Micro enterprise, up to Rs5 crore Small enterprise, up to Rs10 crore as Medium enterprise.

These modifications necessitate for change in lending pattern of financial institutions; adjustment must be made to tap the various financial requirements of SMEs. Task force constituted by the Central government and initiation of SME Rating Agency (SMERA), a group venture of SIDBI, Dun & Bradstreet Information services India ltd and several leading banks of the country are welcome initiatives for the sake of SMEs and hope that it would boost the much needed morale of entrepreneurship in the country.
Atul Kumar Thakur
October3rd2009, New Delhi
atul_mdb@rediffmail.com

Must Innovate but Cautiously

Recently I have attended many events on entrepreneurial innovations including last one at FICCI (8th September, New Delhi); the theme of conference was Making India an Innovation Hub, which was quite noble from the perspective of spurting faith in entrepreneurial potential in the country. Indeed innovation is imperative in every domain in life since it has creative bearings over a potential target, so it’s a sort of energy that’s capable to harness the skills along with imparting conduce ground for entrepreneurship.
Without even a bit of hassle it could be said that presently Indian business seems badly thirsty for the drops of innovation; India being a billion plus size country with its sub-Saharan infrastructure erstwhile remained focused on conservative and cumbersome path of development which normally came out with many depressive impediments.

Choosing the path of mixed economy, Indian economy have been consistently coping up with ideological fractions in political- economic circle that caused for its sluggish development until ushering into phase of liberalization in early nineties, somehow in compelled situation.Crux of the matter is either Socialism or Capitalism let allowed a national economy to grow in its fundamental fervors unlike the Indian experiment with mixed economy which with many languishing political decisions remained standing in bizarre situation.
Any way it doesn’t mean to say that concept of mixed economy was proven failure in Indian circumstances instead its maligned political handling that undermine the potential growth of Public sector enterprises which further dampen the socialistic temptations of economy.

Despite such frills some Public sectors enterprise have proved their worth; performances of Public sectors banks including Regional Rural Banks (RRBs) could be counted in these lists as they more or less remains unaffected through global financial crisis. Here it may takes into long introspection that how these banks remain unaffected?
But a simple answer could be that these banks were less integrated with the fluctuating global businesses albeit it wasn’t an innovation or any counter of such propositions; it was merely an act of inaction regarding the myopic financial routes like hedge funds and other derivatives product that finally saved them from losses. Sometimes inaction is better than action as in this case but that approach shouldn’t be germed in minds for all actions.

Some time back,United Kingdom released the Turner’s review report on financial meltdown which lay out the main themes behind the acute financial failures in western countries.As per the report that mechanized experiments in the name of innovation and blind move for creating bigger entities was the major cause of failures for financial sector players in Europe and U.S.A. Joseph Stiglitz expressed similar contention that bigger entities needs bigger supervision and regulation without having such backups sometimes makes business vulnerable for failure; of course efficiency maters more than the giant sizes of a business entities in most of conditions.
A true innovation can be panache for empowerment of its practitioners besides fuelling growth in productive activities; there are many subtle experiments in our daily life that deserves more proper consideration for its institutional and professional advancement from the respective policy makers.

Persons like Prof. Anil Gupta (IIMA, National Innovation Foundation, SRISTI and Honey Bee Network)is doing exemplary jobs to conserve and retrieve the extinct traditional knowledge and infuse lease for curious observations from bottom of pyramids. Campaign like Universal Financial Access (UFA) evangelizing by eminent banker Mr. Sanjaya Bhargava and others like minded peoples for attaining the goal of complete financial inclusion in early next decades, its theme (Billions through innovations) presents a sanguine picture for innovation that reflect the rosy outcomes of innovative thoughts.
It’s quite alluring to feel that Mr. Sanjaya Bhargava has entered in such arena after leaving his phenomenal stint in City bank where he heading for corporate charges that have very few similarity with such grass rooted and non-profit movement; he is a man of focus and he deserves applauds for such though innovation.

Mr. Mahendra Pratap is next name (President, iMFAST and co-founder NCR Tech Group) in this series; he is similarly the doyen of innovation who relentlessly keeps striving for technological innovation in Indian financial sector with motives to spread its easy reach to the common masses. Spreading of ATM network including with some bio-metric applications, electronic payment to workers of NREGA, door banking, mobile banking,24@7 banking etc are some outcomes of meticulous innovation that maximizing faith in financial inclusion movement.
Innovative ideas in thoughts, services and action are very essential for encouraging and rationalizing socio- psychological perceptions and its development among the all age groups since innovation hardly need any specific age to materialize. Like many other positive ideas, an innovative proposition also requires some rudimentary cautiousness that must be followed to avoid any future chaos; what we have witnessed through financial sector failures in U.S.A and all over the world. Positive restraint would even enhance the capability of an innovation… we must deliberate under our own imposed disciplines that would further take us into an ethical level playing field.

Atul kumar Thakur
September9th 2009, New Delhi
atul_mdb@rediffmail.com

March of Universal Financial Access

Debate is still in full swing for attaining the goal of financial inclusion in stipulated time-frame to usher India in a new age of institutional finances. The rudimentary goal of financial inclusion in Indian perspective is very compatibles with the long sought-after necessity of expanding institutional financial services to the unreached segment of society. It would be imperative here to see that despite witnessing spectacular success with regulated inclination of Indian financial sector still a considerable pool of population is out from its core ambit.
These financially untapped common masses are not only missing the access of formal banking services but they are also deprived from a proper entitlement which eventually outpaced them from mainstream and leads them in the trajectory of exploitative money lending markets.

Such conditional fall leads them to the financial viciousness and alarming indebtedness that altered the course of their lives; for checking these sorts of unfortunate developments, institutional financial delivery at rational interest rate would be a plausible panacea. As the maladies of indebtedness being evident among the farmers, it’s an urgent need to combat these problems on two different front; first to raise the reach of institutional financial services among untapped groups with avoiding the practices of exorbitant charges as some of Micro Financial Institutions (MFIs) are indulged in similar practices and second to offer timely credits for productive purposes instead for consumption.
Models of Regional Rural Banks (RRBs) and co-operative banks could be the fine example for newly emerging Micro financial institutions by lessening their operating cost through technological innovation and adaptation to local conditions and wisdom of practices.
Movement of Universal Financial Access or UFA is a very comprehensively shaped idea that drawn and being propagated by the distinguished banker Mr. Sanjaya Bhargava who left his illustrating full time career for activism of financial inclusion. The basic idea of UFA is meticulously woven for the conditions which are frequent in bottom level of banking practices in India.
Today lack of entitlement primarily fuelled by the low penetration of formal banking and other services among the marginalized section especially in rural areas. UFA movement is trying to bridge the gap between actual demand and supply scenario by tracing the operational loopholes in existing Micro financial institutions and retrieving solutions for better materialization of financial inclusion.

Indeed the conceptualization of financial inclusion by UFA evangelist introduces a new chapter of innovation in Indian financial sector entrusted with broad welfare aims. The drive for universal financial access becomes more vital especially it’s concern with languishing fortune of farmers and others from the bottom of pyramid who grossly left untouched from the great Indian growth story, so its focus area is adverse tantamount generated from unequal growth agenda.
UFA stressed for appropriating technological innovation in the operational domain by the financial institutions in rural areas to curb the cumbersome expense on its service delivery. Revolution in Telecommunication sector is the finest available example before the financial institutions to spread their products at affordable price in hassle free environment.

Consequently with such approaches Telecommunication today enjoying the most respectable position in Indian business and its bullish impact could be visualized any where,spectacular monthly addition of four million subscriber bases with growing Average Revenue per Users(ARPU) rate signaling the makeshift of a sluggish sector into a full bloom arena.At policy level government is too looking serious to attain the goal of financial inclusion by lending directives to Reserve Bank of India,to accommodate the hitherto unbaked persons.
Social schemes like NREGA, Indira Awas Yojna, Self Help Groups etc;are helping the conducive proceedings of financial inclusion plan since the all transactions has to be dealt only through the banks now that giving a lease for institutional financial awareness.

Unique Identification Programme (UID) is an other initiative of government under the visionary chairmanship of Mr. Nandan Nilekani, to end the identity crisis among a large chunks of population who hitherto were not able to avail the benefits of institutional support as they were lacking to fulfills the Know Your Customers(KYC) norms and other hassle full obligations. Previously the only exceptions were the Regional Rural Banks (RRB) & Co-operative Banks as they actively used to practicing the Different Rate of Interest Schemes (DRI) to weaker sections with no frills account services.
Comercial banks including Private sector banks & privately MFIs have to go a long way to come as par the endeavour made by the RRBs & Co- Operative banks through their rural focused & exactly need based services to cater the aspirations of Common Men (Aam Aadmi).

This is the prime area where the UFA movement can persuade to new age players in financial sectors for making action on many previously drifted approaches ;so, first of all it is most essential to be pragmatic on rural India’s needs and than making such effective efforts to contain the handicaps of attaining the full scale financial inclusion.Movements like UFA has greater bearing for the plights of small house holds who involves in unorganized sector and largely defunct from any institutional favour for their basic financial needs.
At this point, rural India’s today needs big push from all sides as the rural hinterland craves for basic facilities & proper opportunities that forces there dwellers towards upward migration in bigger cities; for maintaining equilibrium of prosperities (growth & effectiveness)these area must be given their due.

Financial Services has to play a major role in further development of rural India since investment in different domains going to play catalyst role in economic activities and productions. A grass root effort of spurting entrepreneurship can effectively address the rural areas .
A country like India with billion plus size of population could hardly underrate the importance of its primary sector; so, it should be the foremost aim of any noble initiatives like Universal Financial Access (UFA) to spread the word for saving the villages from despair and infuse hope in these core areas through ensuring basic facilities. Lot of wishes for UFAs like phenomenon movement … hope this movement would relentlessly strive for a vibrant ecosystem that may forward financial inclusion ahead and increase access to financial services in India in very democratic manner.

Atul Kumar Thakur
September2nd 2009, New Delhi
atul_mdb@rediffmail.com

Bumpy Quivering In Indian Mutual Fund Industry

As on July end, the Indian Mutual fund industry manages an asset base of RS 6, 86,946 crore which seems quite impressive in first impression but an in-depth introspection reveals this performances as below of actual potential of presently existing thirty six fund houses. It’s not less surprising that top five Mutual funds houses accounting for over fifty present of the total asset base, so there is huge scopes persist for entry of new players in Mutual fund industry.
According to a recent report of The Economic Times, twenty six funds waiting for approval of business before SEBI (Security and Exchange Board of India); expected potential for more players foraying into the Mutual fund space may lead this industry for stronger consolidation.Mutual fund industry despite having an existence of fifteen years has yet to secure its position as a formidable player in the domain of financial services.

Now the going away of entry load will leave greater obstacles before industry players in attracting the investors. Scrapping entry loads has apparently put Mutual funds at a disadvantage vis-à-vis viable products like ULIPS at the distribution end. Before August 1st, Mutual funds were charging an entry load of 2-2.5% and paying a commission of around 3% to their distributors that mean fund houses had to burn around the cost of 50 to 100 basis point. Such proportion of cost for Asset Management Company was quite low which now they wouldn’t longer afford in the wake of new SEBI ruling.
Even though withering of entry load by SEBI is logical for the sake of investor’s interest as previously availing with fixed nature of commission hardly compelled distributors and Independent Financial Advisors for better consultancy to investors. In absence of adequate information generally investors couldn’t secure there intended benefits from investment.

Now the Mutual fund distribution set to become more demand based rather than sales push, so the time is ripe for investors to be more careful as distributors might push other products such as ULIPS more at least in short term. Indeed the new ruling will lead market towards stiff competitive regime in which the investor will have greater voice although that would require a better financial literacy scenario which at present is quite unsatisfactory in India.
On the other end new SEBI ruling will adversely affect the Mutual fund industry as the overall distribution network is going to face severe challenges; risk has arises of small distributors losing their business and large distributors getting consolidated. Even before the implantation of new ruling Mutual fund industry lacked the distribution network to cover the entire country in a meaningful manner; some plans are in the air for establishing the grand distribution and trading platforms.

Such materialization would of course mitigate the long pending sluggishness of proper distribution network but that must not oust the IFA’s role; they must have to co-exist for further deliberation.In the new set of condition it would be quite imperative to have a triangular interface amidst the Mutual fund , investors and distributors with a consensus based settlement of commission and various other impetus; certainly it would be require disclosure norms more tightened and transparent. There must be a definite set of rules that apply equally to similar products irrespective of seller’s identity.
Apart from the challenges of new directives from SEBI, existences of some non-serious players in the business are equally posing serious concern over the maximization of its reach in financial market.

It seems quite astonishing after passing through the facts regarding very low requirements (Rs 10 crore) to start a Mutual fund unlike the Banking or Insurance business. Despite such hassle free monetary norms; leaders in Mutual fund couldn’t visualize the need for its pan Indian presence like the counterpart’s Bank and Insurance. Presently majority of Mutual funds business comes from corporate (around 70%); here the Mutual funds business urgently needed for some stringent regulatory mandate like rural penetration of business like the counterparts in financial services.
As per a survey of Value research ( An independent research and analysis institution), the industry’s present penetration is estimated at 4.5% as against 10-15% of Insurance business; there are around 3 million agents for Insurance products and just 80,000 distributors for Mutual funds. Indeed both have their own strength and weakness of business but at the moment Mutual fund industry required a tectonic shift in their products distribution in enhanced innovation and co-operation with Banks and Insurance sector.

Mutual fund industry by remodeling many products can leverage upon Insurance’s distribution networks since both are ‘push’ products. Structural changes in selling practices and better offers of reward in distribution network would be a crucial impetus in sustaining and rising of falling esteems in this business.
Today Mutual fund industry is standing at crossroads where it has to cope with many swiftly approaching challenges including a very consistent stiff competition from Insurance industry. Insurance businesses are in win-win situation in comparison of Mutual funds as they availing the traditional edge of being a tool of tax saving besides having a wide network of its distribution channels lead this industry to every threshold in both the urban and rural spaces in equal manners.

To gain an actual breakthrough, potential think tanks of Mutual fund sector should reassess their ongoing business model in terms of targeted breakthrough and further marched towards the comprehensive diversification. Diversification's in the sense, that it would reduce any adverse exposure from a specific sector and would mitigate other invisible travesty.Probably this lesson is most rational after suffering a chronic, meltdown of international financial system which not only raises question on the confined treatment of financial planning but also showed the solution in a diversified and transparent way of business behavior.
Indian market has a huge potential for the growth of Mutual fund business but it would require first to decipher the codes of investor’s expectation from the products. More and more adaptation with the Indian condition would harness the success story; fewer amounts of frills along with the greater amount of ethics and trust would be matched with the genuine plight of this growing sector.

Atul Kumar Thakur
17th August2009, New Delhi
atul_mdb@rediffmail.com